Meme coin Dogecoin seems like it is starting to consolidate just below the $0.4 price level. Particularly, the Dogecoin price has traded below $0.4 in the last five days, reaching a low of $0.343. This DOGE price performance is unsurprisingly going to lead to the notion of whether it has already reached its price top this bull cycle.
However, not every market participant agrees with this thought process. According to technical analysis from crypto analyst Kevin (@Kev_Capital_TA), the Dogecoin price is currently nowhere near its top this cycle.
Where Is Dogecoin Price Top This Cycle?
The Dogecoin price rally has slowed down since it reached a three-year high of $0.4265 on November 13. However, with the aid of an intriguing technical indicator, Kevin highlighted that the Dogecoin price still has a lot of room to run. His analysis suggests that DOGE’s price top for this cycle could reach $3.9, a level that would effectively quadruple its current all-time highs.
Kevin’s forecast relies heavily on a unique application of the Pi Cycle tops indicator, a tool traditionally used for Bitcoin but, as he notes, has proven surprisingly accurate in tracking the Dogecoin price behavior every cycle. He explains that the indicator, which combines two moving averages with the Monthly Relative Strength Index (RSI), has accurately predicted the Dogecoin price tops and bottoms over the years. Particularly, the weekly candlestick Dogecoin price chart that accompanied this outlook shows that the Pi Cycle accurately predicted Dogecoin’s cycle tops and bottoms in 2018 and 2021.
The analyst observed that although the moving averages in Dogecoin’s Pi Cycle tops indicator are heading in the same direction, they are still far from crossing. This suggests that Dogecoin has substantial room for upward movement before reaching the anticipated peak.
Dogecoin Price Top At $3.9: What It Means
Kevin’s predicted price top of $3.9 is derived from the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level when projected from this cycle’s Pi Cycle low. This approach mirrors historical Dogecoin price performance, where previous cycle tops in 2018 and 2021 coincided with the same Fibonacci extension level from their respective Pi Cycle lows. The analyst further highlighted intermediate price ranges to monitor, including $0.9 to $1.3 and $2.3 to $2.7, as milestones on the way to the predicted cycle peak.
A $3.9 Dogecoin price would put its market cap around $572 billion, considering its current total circulating supply of 146.86 billion DOGE tokens. Such a huge market cap would see Dogecoin overtaking even Ethereum in market cap rankings, suggesting the latter price doesn’t grow at the same pace as the former.
At the time of writing, Dogecoin is trading at $0.389, up by 3.5% in a 24-hour timeframe and down by 5.2% in a seven-day timeframe. Attaining the $3.9 Dogecoin price target would represent a 902% increase from the current price.
Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com