Following the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cut in September, Bitcoin has experienced volatility with a bullish tilt. Currently, it has found strong support near the $66,000 mark after peaking at $69,400, which is seen as a crucial level that could determine the next phase of Bitcoin’s price action.
Anticipation Grows for Bitcoin Rally Among Investors
According to CryptoQuant, Bitcoin’s Average Profitability Index stands at 202%, indicating that the current price is roughly double the realized price. This metric boosts investor confidence, as it suggests there is still room for further appreciation before significant profit-taking might occur. Historical trends show that the average profitability typically triggers heavy selling when it surpasses 300%, so Bitcoin’s recent rally may have more room to grow before facing substantial downward pressure.
Bitcoin Holding Strong Above Crucial Support Level
The coming weeks are critical for Bitcoin’s future price movements. If the cryptocurrency can maintain its resilience above the $66,000 support level, it may pave the way for a potential breakthrough above $70,000. However, a failure to hold this level could result in a deeper retracement, potentially down to the $64,000 zone, which aligns with the 4-hour 200 moving average (MA) and the exponential moving average (EMA).
Axel Adler of CryptoQuant highlights the importance of the Average Profitability Index in gauging market sentiment. With the index currently at 202%, it suggests there is still some distance before we reach the typical profit-taking zone of 300%. Nevertheless, as the index approaches this level, investors might start to intensify their selling, potentially leading to a price correction. While the index shows profitability remains below its historic peak, this could still introduce a phase of increased volatility.
Future Price Trajectory and Key Levels to Watch
Despite the possible increase in selling pressure, many investors seem inclined to hold their positions, believing in Bitcoin’s long-term value. Even with intensified profit-taking, the market may avoid a significant downturn, as the sentiment surrounding Bitcoin remains relatively strong.
In the near term, Bitcoin is trading at around $66,400 after being rejected at the $69,400 resistance level. Should it hold above $66,000, Bitcoin could stage another attempt to break past $69,000, potentially pushing towards the psychological barrier of $70,000. On the downside, if Bitcoin fails to sustain this key support, a dip to $64,000 could trigger more selling pressure, signaling a possible trend reversal.
The next few trading sessions will be pivotal in determining Bitcoin’s direction, with $66,000 emerging as a critical level to watch. Investors are closely monitoring the market as Bitcoin continues to navigate this volatile phase.
Conclusion
While the 202% profitability index signals further room for growth, the market could see increased selling pressure as the index approaches 300%. Bitcoin’s ability to hold the crucial $66,000 support will determine its near-term trajectory, with investors awaiting either a push towards $70,000 or a potential dip below key levels. The evolving dynamics over the next few weeks will be crucial in shaping Bitcoin’s next major move.
Disclaimer: Please note that the contents of this article are not financial or investing advice. The information provided in this article is the author’s opinion only and should not be considered as offering trading or investing recommendations. We do not make any warranties about the completeness, reliability and accuracy of this information. The cryptocurrency market suffers from high volatility and occasional arbitrary movements. Any investor, trader, or regular crypto users should research multiple viewpoints and be familiar with all local regulations before committing to an investment.
